19 July 2002

Possible Fujiwhara Effect

 

As Supertyphoon Fengshen continues westward, another TC has formed east of the Philippines (not yet named as of 00UTC on 19 July).  The ECMWF predictions call for a north-northeastward motion of the latter by 21/7 (Fig. 1).  By 23/7,  the two systems are predicted to begin a Fujiwhara-type interaction (Fig. 2) so that by 25/7, Fengshen is predicted to move towards the East China coast and 13W towards the northeast (Fig. 3).  The interaction can also be seen on the predicted 500-hPa height field for 24/7 (Fig. 4).

 

Fig. 1.

 

Fig. 2.

 

Fig. 3.

Fig. 4.